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2.
Public Health ; 227: 163-168, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38232564

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to characterize the burden of asthma-related issues in Latin American and Caribbean countries from 1990 to 2019 and to assess their relationship with the sociodemographic index (SDI). STUDY DESIGN: A cross-sectional analysis with an ecological approach was conducted. METHODS: The disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and the SDI data were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. Linear regression models were used to evaluate the relationship of interest. RESULTS: During the study period, a total of 41.7 million DALYs were accounted, with the highest rates observed in children aged under 5 years (651, uncertainty interval [UI]: 369 to 1037 per 100,000) and females (342, UI: 241 to 471 per 100,000). In the multiple regression model based on data from 2019, a significant negative association was observed between the log-transformed DALY rates and the SDI. Specifically, for each unit increase in the SDI, asthma-related DALY rates decreased by an average of 0.97 % (95 % confidence interval: 0.48-1.00 %). CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights heterogeneous age, gender, and country-related variations in asthma rates across Latin American and Caribbean countries and emphasizes the influence of sociodemographic factors on its burden.


Subject(s)
Asthma , Global Burden of Disease , Child , Female , Humans , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Cross-Sectional Studies , Latin America/epidemiology , Global Health , Asthma/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Caribbean Region/epidemiology
3.
Public Health ; 222: 175-177, 2023 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37552926

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the World Health Organization (WHO) and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) case definitions for influenza-like illness (ILI) in diagnosing influenza during the 2022-2023 flu season in Mexico. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of national epidemiological surveillance data in Mexico, focusing on respiratory viral pathogens. METHODS: We analyzed data from 6027 non-hospitalized patients between 5 and 65 years old who underwent molecular testing for respiratory viral pathogens. The performance of both case definitions was evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. RESULTS: Overall, the diagnostic accuracy of the evaluated ILI definitions in identifying influenza patients was low, particularly among older patients. When compared to the CDC, the WHO definition had a lower sensitivity but a higher specificity, resulting in a higher AUROC (P = 0.031) for the WHO criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the WHO and CDC ILI case definitions have limited accuracy for diagnosing influenza in non-hospitalized patients and highlight the need for more specific diagnostic tools to improve the detection of influenza cases during the flu season.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human , Virus Diseases , United States , Humans , Child, Preschool , Child , Adolescent , Young Adult , Adult , Middle Aged , Aged , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Seasons , Cross-Sectional Studies , Mexico/epidemiology , World Health Organization , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.
4.
Public Health ; 221: 181-183, 2023 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37473650

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the survival experience of children hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection due to bronchiolitis. STUDY DESIGN: This was a nationwide retrospective cohort study conducted in Mexico. METHODS: We analyzed data from 436 children aged 5 years and younger, with symptom onset between August 2021 and November 2022. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to compute survivor functions and their 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: High survival rates were observed, particularly within the first three weeks of hospital admission. The 3-day survival rate was 99.8% (CI 98.4-99.9%), which decreased to 98.9% (CI 96.5-99.7%), 97.5% (CI 91.9-99.3%), 86.7% (CI 48.2-97.2%), and 69.4% (CI 24.2-91.0%) on days 7, 14, 21, and 28 of hospital stay, respectively. We documented a total of 5 fatal outcomes, resulting in a mortality rate of 2.1 (95% CI 0.9-5.1) per 1,000 person-days. CONCLUSIONS: Our study analyzed a large cohort of pediatric patients with bronchiolitis caused by RSV infection, providing valuable insights into the in-hospital progression of this disease.


Subject(s)
Bronchiolitis , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Humans , Child , Infant , Retrospective Studies , Inpatients , Hospitalization
5.
Public Health ; 213: 124-126, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36410117

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare the survival experience of adult inpatients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 during the first three waves (wild type, Delta, and Omicron) of the pandemic in Mexico. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective and nationwide study was conducted. METHODS: Data from 229,311 participants were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and estimates per each pandemic wave were obtained. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was fitted, and hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed. RESULTS: The overall mortality rate was 49.1 per 1000 person-days. Heterogeneous survival rates were observed during the analyzed emergences (log-rank test, P < 0.001), and the lowest survival functions were computed during the Omicron variant dominance. In multiple analyses and after adjusting by host characteristics and COVID-19 vaccination status, cases occurring during the Delta (vs wild type: HR = 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05) and Omicron emergence were at increased risk for a fatal in-hospital outcome (HR = 1.17, 95% CI 1.13-1.22). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest variant-related differences in the survival rates of hospitalized patients with laboratory-positive COVID-19. When compared with the wild-type virus, lower rates were observed during the Delta and Omicron emergence.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , Adult , Retrospective Studies , COVID-19 Vaccines , SARS-CoV-2
6.
Public Health ; 207: 105-107, 2022 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35594806

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify factors predicting pneumonia in adults with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) during the Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) emergence. We also evaluated, in fully vaccinated (BNT162b2 or AZD1222) individuals, if the time (<6 or ≥6 months) elapsed since the last shot was received was associated with the risk of severe illness. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in Mexico. METHODS: Data from 409,493 were analyzed, and risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed through generalized linear models. RESULTS: We documented a total of 3513 COVID-19 pneumonia cases (69.5 per 100,000 person-days). In multiple analyses, a protective effect was observed in vaccinated adults (RR = 0.996, 95% CI 0.995-0.997). Male gender, increasing age, and smoking were associated with a greater risk of pneumonia. Individuals with chronic comorbidities (pulmonary obstructive disease, type 2 diabetes mellitus, arterial hypertension, kidney disease, and immunosuppression) were also at higher risk. Among fully vaccinated subjects (n = 166,869), those who had received the last shot at 6 more months were at increased risk for developing pneumonia (RR = 1.002, 95% CI 1.001-1.003). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the first-generation BNT162b2 and AZD1222 vaccines reduce the risk of COVID-19 pneumonia during the Omicron emergence. We also found that adults with longer interval from the administration of the second shot to illness onset were at increased risk of severe manifestations.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Pneumonia , Adult , BNT162 Vaccine , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Humans , Male , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2
7.
Public Health ; 204: 9-11, 2022 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35085915

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate factors associated with the risk of COVID-19 pneumonia in children (aged <10 years) and adolescents (aged 10-19 years) before (March 2020-April 2021) and during (May-July 2021) the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant emergence. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective and nationwide cohort study was conducted in Mexico. METHODS: Data from 26,961 laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 were analyzed. Risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to evaluate the association of the evaluated exposures with the risk of COVID-19 pneumonia. RESULTS: The overall incidence rate of pneumonia was 23.0 per 10,000 person-days, and it was lower during the Delta variant emergence (30.3 vs. 9.4 person-days, p < 0.001). In multiple analysis, a decreased risk of pneumonia was observed among those cases occurring in May 2021 or later (vs. March 2020-April 2021, RR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99) and among older patients (RRper year = 0.998, 95% CI 0.996-0.998). Other comorbidities (namely, obesity, chronic kidney disease, diabetes mellitus, immunosuppression, or malignant tumors) were associated with an increased risk of severe COVID-19 manifestations. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that during the Delta variant emergence, children and adolescent patients were at reduced risk of COVID-19 pneumonia in Mexico. Further research is needed to identify factors determining the observed scenario.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pneumonia , Adolescent , Adult , COVID-19/epidemiology , Child , Cohort Studies , Humans , Pneumonia/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , SARS-CoV-2 , Young Adult
8.
Rev. clín. esp. (Ed. impr.) ; 221(10): 582-586, dic. 2021. tab, graf
Article in Spanish | IBECS | ID: ibc-227037

ABSTRACT

Objetivos Este estudio tuvo como objetivo evaluar el desempeño, antes y durante la pandemia de la COVID-19, de la definición de caso de sospecha de influenza en la vigilancia comunitaria en México. Métodos Se llevó a cabo un análisis transversal de un estudio de cohorte y, con el fin de confirmar o descartar la infección por virus influenza, se analizaron los casos que cumplían con los criterios de caso sospechoso (n = 20.511) y con evidencia concluyente de laboratorio (reacción cuantitativa en cadena de la polimerasa en tiempo real). Resultados Se documentaron una alta sensibilidad y una discreta especificidad, que posteriormente disminuyó, así como su precisión diagnóstica, durante el brote de la COVID-19. Sin embargo, no se observaron diferencias en el área bajo la curva de características operativas del receptor entre los períodos analizados. Conclusión La definición de caso evaluada sigue siendo una alternativa rentable para identificar a los pacientes que pueden beneficiarse de los medicamentos antivirales específicos contra la influenza, incluso durante el brote mundial de COVID-19 (AU)


Objective This study aimed to evaluate the performance, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, of the case definition of suspected influenza used in community surveillance in Mexico. Methods A cross-sectional analysis of a cohort study was perfomed and cases that met the suspected case criteria (n = 20,511) and that had laboratory-conclusive evidence (quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction) to confirm or discard influenza virus infection, were analysed. Results A high sensitivity and modest specificity were documented, which later decreased during the COVID-19 outbreak, as well as its diagnostic accuracy. However, no significant differences were observed in the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve among the analysed periods. Conclusion The evaluated case definition remains to be a cost-effective alternative for identifying patients who may benefit from influenza-specific antiviral drugs, even during the global COVID-19 outbreak (AU)


Subject(s)
Humans , Middle Aged , Aged , Epidemiological Monitoring , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , /epidemiology , Pandemics , Retrospective Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Cohort Studies , Mexico/epidemiology , Prevalence
9.
Rev Clin Esp (Barc) ; 221(10): 582-586, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34839891

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the performance, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, of the case definition of suspected influenza used in community surveillance in Mexico. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of a cohort study was performed and cases that met the suspected case criteria (n = 20,511) and that had laboratory-conclusive evidence (quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction) to confirm or discard influenza virus infection were analysed. RESULTS: A high sensitivity and modest specificity were documented, which later decreased during the COVID-19 outbreak, as well as its diagnostic accuracy. However, no significant differences were observed in the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve among the analysed periods. CONCLUSIONS: The evaluated case definition remains to be a cost-effective alternative for identifying patients who may benefit from influenza-specific antiviral drugs, even during the global COVID-19 outbreak.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Cohort Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Humans , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2
10.
Public Health ; 195: 123-125, 2021 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34089950

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to evaluate the survival experience of suspicion COVID-19 hospitalized patients with pneumonia and negative baseline reverse-transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) test results. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Mexico. METHODS: Adult pneumonia inpatients fulfilling suspected COVID-19 criteria, and hospital entry from March to August 2020, were enrolled. The Kaplan-Meier method was to use to compare survival estimates among patients with negative RT-qPCR nasopharyngeal or oropharyngeal swabs and those with a baseline positive test. RESULTS: Data from 64,624 individuals fulfilling suspected COVID-19 criteria were analyzed and 1.6% of them had negative RT-qPCR tests. The overall mortality rate was higher among laboratory-positive patients (48.5% vs. 34.2%, P < 0.001) and, at any given threshold, the survival estimates were higher among RT-qPCR-negative pneumonia inpatients. CONCLUSIONS: The pathogenic mechanism of COVID-19 remains poorly understood and suspected cases with pneumonia and negative laboratory results represent a major challenge for healthcare systems. Our findings suggest that RT-qPCR-negative inpatients may have an improved disease prognosis, but the in-hospital mortality was still high among them. However, further research is needed to clarify the clinical and epidemiological implications of our results.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/mortality , Pneumonia/mortality , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Adult , Aged , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19 Testing , Female , Humans , Inpatients , Male , Mexico/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Pneumonia/diagnosis , Retrospective Studies , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction
11.
Rev Clin Esp (Barc) ; 221(2): 76-85, 2021 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33998492

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors associated with the risk of death in adolescent and adult inpatients with laboratory-positive (reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction) influenza in Mexico during consecutive influenza seasons (2018-2020). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study used national surveillance system data, enrolling 3.422 individuals. The association between various risk factors and 30-day in-hospital lethality were evaluated through risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: The lethality rate was 18.1%. Flu vaccination history (RR=0.56, 95% CI 0.42-0.78), early antiviral drug administration (≤2 days from symptom onset [reference ≥5 days], RR=0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.81), and a history of asthma (RR=0.66, 95% CI 0.47-0.95) showed protective effects against influenza-attributable death. Mechanical ventilator support produced the highest increase in death risk (RR=3.31, 95% CI 2.89-3.79). Male sex, older age, AH1N1 subtype, and other chronic diseases were also associated with fatal in-hospital influenza-related outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight the major relevance of promoting immunization in high-risk individuals, together with ensuring early and effective antiviral management in suspected influenza cases.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Hospitals , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Laboratories , Male , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
12.
Public Health ; 193: 113-115, 2021 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33774512

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to evaluate factors predicting severe symptomatic laboratory-confirmed (via Reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction, RT-PCR polymerase chain reaction) severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reinfection. STUDY DESIGN: This is a nationwide retrospective cohort study that was conducted in Mexico. METHODS: Data from 258 reinfection cases (at least 28 days between both episodes onset) were analyzed. We used risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to evaluate predictors of severe (dyspnea requiring hospital admission) secondary SARS-CoV-2 infection. RESULTS: The risk of severe disease was 14.7%, and the observed overall fatality rate was 4.3%. Patients with more serious primary disease were more likely to develop severe symptoms (39.5% vs. 5.5%, P < 0.001) during reinfection. In multiple analysis, factors associated with an increased risk of severe symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 reinfection were increasing age (RRper year = 1.007, 95% CI = 1.003-1.010), comorbidities (namely, obesity [RR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.01-1.24], asthma [RR = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.06-1.50], type 2 diabetes mellitus [RR = 1.22, 95% CI = 1.07-1.38]), and previous severe laboratory-confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (RR = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.03-1.39). CONCLUSIONS: To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study evaluating disease outcomes in a large set of laboratory-positive cases of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 reinfection, and factors associated with illness severity were characterized. Our results may contribute to the current knowledge of SARS-CoV-2 pathogenicity and to identify populations at increased risk of a poorer outcome after reinfection.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/diagnosis , Reinfection/diagnosis , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Severity of Illness Index , Adult , Aged , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/therapy , COVID-19 Nucleic Acid Testing , Comorbidity , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Laboratories , Male , Mexico/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Reinfection/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Symptom Assessment , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
13.
Rev. clín. esp. (Ed. impr.) ; 221(2): 76-85, feb. 2021. tab
Article in Spanish | IBECS | ID: ibc-225682

ABSTRACT

Objetivo Identificar los factores asociados a riesgo de muerte en pacientes adolescentes y adultos hospitalizados con gripe confirmada en laboratorio (reacción en cadena de la polimerasa con transcriptasa inversa) en México durante temporadas consecutivas de gripe (2018-2020). Pacientes y métodos Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo en el que se utilizaron datos del sistema de vigilancia nacional con 3.422 sujetos inscritos. Se evaluó la asociación entre el riesgo a la exposición y el riesgo de letalidad hospitalaria durante 30 días mediante el estudio de los riesgos relativos (RR) y los intervalos de confianza (IC) del 95%. Resultados La tasa de letalidad fue del 18,1%. Los antecedentes de vacunación frente a la gripe (RR = 0,56; IC 95%: 0,42-0,78), la administración de fármacos antivirales (≤ dos días desde la aparición de los síntomas [referencia: ≥ 5 días]; RR = 0,68; IC 95%: 0,58-0,81) y el historial de asma (RR = 0,66; IC 95%: 0,47-0,95) mostraron efectos protectores frente a la muerte atribuible a la gripe. La ventilación mecánica causó el mayor aumento del riesgo de muerte (RR = 3,31; IC 95%: 2,89-3,79). También se asoció a una mayor letalidad hospitalaria por gripe el hecho de ser hombre, tener edad avanzada, el subtipo AH1N1 y otras enfermedades crónicas. Conclusiones Nuestros hallazgos recalcan la gran importancia de fomentar la inmunización de individuos de alto riesgo, a la vez que se asegura un tratamiento antiviral temprano y eficaz en los casos sospechosos de gripe (AU)


Objective To identify factors associated with the risk of death in adolescent and adult inpatients with laboratory-positive (reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction) influenza in Mexico during consecutive influenza seasons (2018-2020). Patients and methods A retrospective cohort study used national surveillance system data, enrolling 3422 individuals. The association between various risk factors and 30-day in-hospital lethality were evaluated through risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results The lethality rate was 18.1%. Flu vaccination history (RR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.42-0.78), early antiviral drug administration (≤ two days from symptom onset [reference ≥ 5 days], RR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.81), and a history of asthma (RR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.47-0.95) showed protective effects against influenza-attributable death. Mechanical ventilator support produced the highest increase in death risk (RR = 3.31, 95% CI 2.89-3.79). Male sex, older age, AH1N1 subtype, and other chronic diseases were also associated with fatal in-hospital influenza-related outcomes. Conclusions Our findings highlight the major relevance of promoting immunization in high-risk individuals, together with ensuring early and effective antiviral management in suspected influenza cases (AU)


Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Adolescent , Young Adult , Adult , Middle Aged , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Hospital Mortality , Influenza, Human/mortality , Influenza, Human/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Cohort Studies , Risk Factors , Mexico/epidemiology
14.
Rev Clin Esp ; 221(10): 582-586, 2021 Dec.
Article in Spanish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33024341

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the performance, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, of the case definition of suspected influenza used in community surveillance in Mexico. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of a cohort study was perfomed and cases that met the suspected case criteria (n = 20,511) and that had laboratory-conclusive evidence (quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction) to confirm or discard influenza virus infection, were analysed. RESULTS: A high sensitivity and modest specificity were documented, which later decreased during the COVID-19 outbreak, as well as its diagnostic accuracy. However, no significant differences were observed in the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve among the analysed periods. CONCLUSION: The evaluated case definition remains to be a cost-effective alternative for identifying patients who may benefit from influenza-specific antiviral drugs, even during the global COVID-19 outbreak.

15.
Public Health ; 190: 1-3, 2021 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33316477

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The mortality of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is high, and data regarding its prognosis are scarce. We aimed to assess the survival experience and determining factors in adult inpatients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide and retrospective cohort study. Data from 66,123 individuals were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and a multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was fitted. RESULTS: The 7-day survival was 72.2% and went to 47.6%, 35.0%, and 23.9% on days 15, 21, and 30 of hospital stay, respectively. In the multiple analysis, factors associated with an increased risk of dying were male gender, age, pneumonia at hospital admission, immunosuppression, and personal history of chronic non-communicable diseases. Reduced risk of a fatal outcome was observed among patients with asthma history. CONCLUSIONS: To the best of our knowledge, this is the largest study analyzing the survival probability in a large subset of Latin-American adults with COVID-19, in whom the disease burden has been high. Our results contribute to achieving a better understanding of disease evolution.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/mortality , Inpatients/statistics & numerical data , SARS-CoV-2 , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Chronic Disease/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Comorbidity , Female , Hospital Mortality , Hospitalization , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Length of Stay , Male , Mexico/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Pandemics , Proportional Hazards Models , Retrospective Studies , Young Adult
16.
Public Health ; 189: 153-157, 2020 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33246302

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to identify factors predicting laboratory-positive coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in pediatric patients with acute respiratory symptoms. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective cohort study. METHODS: Data from 1849 individuals were analyzed. COVID-19 was confirmed (reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction) in 15.9% of patients, and factors predicting a positive test result were evaluated through prevalence odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Increasing age, personal history of obesity, and household contact with a case were found to be associated, in the multiple regression model, with increased odds of a positive test result. Young patients residing in areas with higher population sizes, as well as those with severe respiratory symptoms, were less likely to be laboratory confirmed. CONCLUSIONS: Early identification and isolation of children and teenagers with suggestive symptoms of COVID-19 is important to limit viral spread. We identified several factors predicting the laboratory test result. Our findings are relevant from a public health policy perspective, particularly after the restart of in-person academic activities.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Adolescent , COVID-19 Nucleic Acid Testing , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Mexico/epidemiology , Odds Ratio , Prevalence , Prospective Studies , Risk Assessment , SARS-CoV-2/genetics
17.
Rev Clin Esp ; 2020 Jul 13.
Article in English, Spanish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32674849

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors associated with the risk of death in adolescent and adult inpatients with laboratory-positive (reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction) influenza in Mexico during consecutive influenza seasons (2018-2020). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study used national surveillance system data, enrolling 3422 individuals. The association between various risk factors and 30-day in-hospital lethality were evaluated through risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: The lethality rate was 18.1%. Flu vaccination history (RR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.42-0.78), early antiviral drug administration (≤ two days from symptom onset [reference ≥ 5 days], RR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.81), and a history of asthma (RR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.47-0.95) showed protective effects against influenza-attributable death. Mechanical ventilator support produced the highest increase in death risk (RR = 3.31, 95% CI 2.89-3.79). Male sex, older age, AH1N1 subtype, and other chronic diseases were also associated with fatal in-hospital influenza-related outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight the major relevance of promoting immunization in high-risk individuals, together with ensuring early and effective antiviral management in suspected influenza cases.

18.
Rev. clín. esp. (Ed. impr.) ; 220: 0-0, 2020. tab, graf
Article in Spanish | IBECS | ID: ibc-195054

ABSTRACT

OBJETIVOS: Este estudio tuvo como objetivo evaluar el desempeño, antes y durante la pandemia de la COVID-19, de la definición de caso de sospecha de influenza en la vigilancia comunitaria en México. MÉTODOS: Se llevó a cabo un análisis transversal de un estudio de cohorte y, con el fin de confirmar o descartar la infección por virus influenza, se analizaron los casos que cumplían con los criterios de caso sospechoso (n = 20.511) y con evidencia concluyente de laboratorio (reacción cuantitativa en cadena de la polimerasa en tiempo real). RESULTADOS: Se documentaron una alta sensibilidad y una discreta especificidad, que posteriormente disminuyó, así como su precisión diagnóstica, durante el brote de la COVID-19. Sin embargo, no se observaron diferencias en el área bajo la curva de características operativas del receptor entre los períodos analizados. CONCLUSIÓN: La definición de caso evaluada sigue siendo una alternativa rentable para identificar a los pacientes que pueden beneficiarse de los medicamentos antivirales específicos contra la influenza, incluso durante el brote mundial de COVID-19


OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the performance, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, of the case definition of suspected influenza used in community surveillance in Mexico. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of a cohort study took place and cases fulfilling the suspected case criteria (n = 20,511), and with laboratory-conclusive evidence (quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction) to confirm or discard influenza virus infection, were analyzed. RESULTS: A high sensitivity and modest specificity were documented, and this later decreased during the COVID-19 outbreak, as well as its diagnostic accuracy. However, no significant differences were observed in the area under the receiver operating characteristics among the analyzed periods. CONCLUSION: The evaluated case definition remains to be a cost-effective alternative to identify patients who may benefit from influenza-specific antiviral drugs, even during the COVID-19 global outbreak


Subject(s)
Humans , Mass Screening/methods , Coronavirus Infections/diagnosis , Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Mexico/epidemiology , Pandemics/statistics & numerical data , Symptom Assessment/methods , Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus/isolation & purification , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , Cross-Sectional Studies , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use
20.
J Perinatol ; 36(10): 874-7, 2016 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27309628

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to assess the clinical utility of direct fluorescent assay in buffy coat in the diagnosis of Candida sepsis (CS) in neonates. STUDY DESIGN: A cross-sectional study was conducted in a Neonatal Intensive Care Unit and 22 neonates with suspected CS were enrolled. Fungus isolation from blood cultures and direct fluorescent tests in buffy coat were performed and validity parameters were estimated. RESULTS: Candida was isolated in 13/22 (59%) blood cultures. The direct fluorescent test was positive in 12/13 and 1/9 cases with positive and negative blood culture as corresponding. Estimated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive likehood ratio and negative likehood ratio were 92%, 89%, 92%, 89%, 8.31 and 0.09, respectively. CONCLUSION: The direct fluorescent assay in buffy coat might be useful to support early and accurate diagnosis of CS in neonates.


Subject(s)
Blood Buffy Coat/microbiology , Candida/isolation & purification , Fluorescent Antibody Technique, Direct , Neonatal Sepsis/diagnosis , Candidemia/blood , Candidemia/diagnosis , Cross-Sectional Studies , Early Diagnosis , Female , Gestational Age , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Mycological Typing Techniques , Neonatal Sepsis/microbiology , Predictive Value of Tests
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